What is SENSEX & NIFTY 50? Why they are so Important :- Nifty 50 & Sensex Explained in Hindi - #4 MASTER INVESTOR Bhai1257
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What is SENSEX & NIFTY 50? Why they are so Important :- Nifty 50 & Sensex Explained in English + Hindi - #4 MASTER INVESTOR
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Hello, my name is Mukul, and welcome to Bhai1257 where we unlock finance knowledge.
In this Article, we will talk about Sensex and NIFTY
First of all, we will understand its concepts and what they are exactly
And after that, we will try to understand why people are so obsessed with NIFTY and Sensex.
And why so many people follow them.
Many times people ask that suppose if Sensex is the index of 30 companies
then those 30 companies should be affected
I have invested in a particular company so why does my stock get affected?
No, it's not like that
Many times, a sentiment of the market called group psychology.
You must have heard a proverb "all ships rise with the rising tide "
So when there is high tide, all the ships rise with it.
And with the low tide, all the ships also go down.
Similarly, if the Sensex or the market does very well,
then sometimes bad companies also rise with it.
And sometimes when the Sensex goes down, many good companies also go down.
And in that, it becomes very important for you to analyze.
So we talk about analysis on this channel, and blogs
in this Article, we will understand the concept of Sensex and NIFTY better.
And so that you have a better understanding of sentiment and group psychology.
So without any delay let's move to the blackboard.
So let's understand Sensex and NIFTY with an example.
I give you an analogy, suppose, your health worsens, then you go to the doctor,
the doctor checks your temperature, checks your blood pressure or
the doctor asks you to bring your blood report or to check your blood sample.
from all these parameters or matrix the doctor get to know your health
Similarly, if you want to find out the country's economic health
then you can track the stock markets of that country
Now how to track the stock market
If we talk about India, you can track the market through Sensex and NIFTY
Sensex and NIFTY are the two major indexes of India.
Now, What are the Major Stock Exchange in India?
Sensex is the index of the Bombay Stock Exchange.
And National Stock Exchange's major index is called NIFTY
Sensex is the short form of Sensitive Index
And NIFTY is the short form National Fifty.
In the Bombay Stock Exchange, 5000 plus companies are listed
And in the National Stock Exchange, 1600 plus companies are listed.
So you can not track 5000 companies if you want to know the economic health
Right, so what you will do? you will follow a particular index
So Sensex is the index of top 30 companies
Out of all the companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange
It is the index of the top 30 companies that the Bombay stock exchange select.
Now how these top 30 companies got selected in Sensex ?
It is selected by the Free Float Market Capitalization.
In which all sectors are presented and the market leader and big companies
of every sector are selected according to the turnover.
Similarly in the NIFTY top, 50 companies get selected
out of these 1600 companies which are listed on the National Stock Exchange.
Out of them, the top 50 companies get selected.
So the NIFTY is the index of top 50 companies and Sensex is the index of 30 companies
Now let's discuss the base year
You must hear that Sensex is running at 30 thousand or 35 thousand.
But when did it start? And what is its starting figure?
So we know that from the base year. Sensex was started in 1978-79
therefore the base year of it is considered in 78-79.
And its value then was Rs 100.
Similarly, the nifty base year is 95-96 and its base value was @1000.
And if we want to understand this in more detail.
So assume the value of Sensex is 100 Rs in 1979
So on today's date, we say the value of Sensex is around 35000 Rs in 2018
So see, how much of growth it is
If you calculate its compounded annual growth rate
So it will be approximately more than 16%
Every year it has given the return of 16%
So in 1980, it was 116 Rs
And then again 16% returns on 116 Rs,
In this way, 16% will be the compounded annual growth rate
Similarly, you can calculate the growth rate of NIFTY also
It was 1000 Rs in 1995-96, and today its more than 10000 Rs
So how much will be our compounded annual growth rate
So see, Sensex covers large-cap companies
It covers the top 30 companies
Similarly, NIFTY also covers large-cap companies, top 50 companies
But there are different sectoral indices
If you want to track only the auto sector, assuming Tata Motors, Hero Moto Corp
And all these automobile companies
If you want to know the condition of the auto sector
Then you can follow auto index
Similarly, power index is also published
Bankex is your banking index
Then your mid-cap and small-cap index are also published separately
Both Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange
Publishes their index separately
Similarly in National Stock Exchange also you can follow the auto index
You can follow the power index, bank, mid-cap, small-cap
If you want to track healthcare you will get healthcare
You will get power
In this way, you can track different sectors
So this was all about the comparison between Sensex and NIFTY
Now we will see some salient features of Sensex and NIFTY
Firstly, as I told you that they are calculated by the Free Float Market Capitalization method
The top 30 companies which come under this,
Or the top 50 companies which come under NIFTY
Free Float Market Capitalization means whatever the total market capitalization of one company
Out of which the share of promoter or government's share
Assume there is a company of government, a semi-government company
Then you subtract the holdings of the promoter or government
Because the promoter or government's holdings share does not get traded in the market
So the shares which get traded in the market
Their market capitalization is calculated
According to that, top 30 or top 50 companies are selected
Now, what is market capitalization?
I have already made a very detailed blogs about that
You can watch the video
Along with that, I will also make a detailed video about the Free Float Market Capitalization
You can watch the video that exactly how these companies get selected
What is the second salient feature
As I told you that Sensex and NIFTY represents all the major sectors
You can see all the market-leading companies
For example, if we talk about tech then you will find a company like Infosys, TCS, Wipro
Then if we talk about petrochemical companies, you will find Reliance,
You will find ONGC
If we talk about engineering and construction then you will find companies like L&T
If we talk about banks, then you will get to see a bank like HDFC
You will get to see ICICI
So these are the top companies which you will get to see in Sensex and NIFTY
After that, one more thing you should understand carefully
Sensex and NIFTY are providing sentiments of the public
This is not the index of government that is being published
This is a sentiment of the public
The buying and selling going on the daily basis
According to that, this index goes up and down daily
So if we say that Sensex has gone up today, assume it has gone up
Then you will get to see it in green
This means that the bull market is going on now
If you assume that Sensex is going up for a year or two then we call it a bull market
If it goes down, we call it bear market
Whenever there is a down market, then you will get to see it in red color daily
So if the market goes down for many days
So we call it a bear market
And if the market keeps going up for a few months then we call it a bull market
So how the market is going up or down ?
This is the sentiment of the public
How are the sentiments of the public is controlled?
It is controlled by the socio-political environment
Assume if there is a stable government,
so when a stable government comes to the power with a full majority
Then suddenly the stock market goes up
You may have seen when the Modi government came to the power with a full majority
Suddenly the stock market went up.
In fact when the Congress government came to the power in 2004
It was a stable government, then also stock market went up
This may also be possible that a particular government has a specific image
That it is pro-business
If the government supports business,
then also the stock market goes up
So it depends on the socio-political environment
Then how are the business policies in any country
Now see earlier the image of India was that
There are not very good business policies
Startups don't get supported much
Or there are many hurdles in starting a business
So its ranking has improved a little bit
In today's date, many businesses want to come to India
By that also stock markets get affected
It is very much dependent on the international affairs
In today's date, the world's markets are interlinked very much
China is selling the products in India
It is selling their manufactured goods to the whole world
USA's technology is being used by India and the whole world
So when one economy goes down, the other economies also get affected
So what is the future of the industry
In the last 25 to 30 years, technology has done many wonders
Similarly, the future may be of renewable energy
Look for which industry will flourish in future
And in that who will become the market leader
Similarly what will be the future of a country ?
As I have told you here that a socio-political environment
and the future of the country is somewhat interlinked to one another
The country's future can be dependent on the resources also
How are the natural resources there?
is the economy agricultural dependent?
are they fully utilizing their resources or not
According to all these factors, the public sells and purchases stocks
And if the sentiments get nasty, then the stocks are sold more
And the market goes down
There's is one more proverb about Sensex and NIFTY or markets
Generally about stock markets
That markets move in excesses
What is the meaning of this?
When there are positive sentiments, then markets go up to 30% in a year
It may be possible that the earnings have gone up to only 10%
And maybe the market has gone up to 30%
It may be possible that people think that the government is very stable
We should react suddenly, there will be more purchasing of stocks
Then, in negative sentiments, the market is down 20%, 30% down also
It may be possible in this case also earnings have gone up by 10%
Then also if there are negative sentiments
The market can go down
I will give you a real-life example of this
You have surely heard of the subprime crisis
Subprime crisis occurred in 2008 and 2009
In 2008, if we talk about January then the Sensex was approx 21000
And till September 2008, the Sensex came to approx 9000
So see, how much it dropped
It's not like the earnings have dropped
The subprime crisis occurred in the USA, it affected India also
Because many companies do business among themselves
So it felt like outsourcing jobs and businesses will end
So there is a very big impact of sentiments on the market
Markets always tend to overreact
That's why the market always moves in excesses
Whenever the market goes very low
In September 2008, there was a bear market
So there is an opportunity for you
Whoever has purchased the stocks in September 2008
They may have earned very good returns
Similarly, whoever has invested in January 2008,
They may have faced loss
And it is also possible that they have sold the stocks till September 2008
So definitely if someone buys at 21000 and sells at 9000
Then there is a huge loss
So I think you may have got the idea that exactly what the Sensex and NIFTY represents
See as I have told you in introductions also
If you look at a company's earnings
If I give you an example of a company
If there is company A, its earnings may have gone up by 50% in 2008
But it doesn't depend on that
Its fundamentals are very strong
I also agree to that
But the sentiments have gone worse
Its earnings have gone up to 50%
But its stock may fall by 25%
This too is not big deal
Share market work |
I think you have got the idea of how important group psychology and sentiment are
And the Sensex and NIFTY are the sentiments of the public
It is neither government's published rate
nor a government's published index
I have tried to cover all the major points in this video
But then also if there is something missing or you want to add something
Then you can comment it below
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Share market
we will meet in the next Article
Till then keep learning, keep earning
And be happy
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